Exxon and Chevron warn that restricted global fuel inventories will keep energy prices surging into late 2026.

Major US oil producers warn that ongoing geopolitical conflicts and shrinking global inventories will sustain high petrol prices.

Global energy markets face severe strain as international supply chains struggle with ongoing geopolitical conflict. Major oil firms anticipate persistently high fuel prices throughout the remainder of the year. ExxonMobil and Chevron report significant increases in second-quarter refining profits amidst these tightening global inventories. 

This financial boost stems from declining stockpiles, reduced Chinese exports, and Russian refinery disruptions. Furthermore, executives from Chevron note that demand for distillates like diesel will likely remain robust. They expect upward pressure on product pricing to continue well into the third quarter. 

However, soaring margins present massive hurdles for consumers facing petrol prices above $4 per gallon. This economic pressure creates notable political challenges for US leadership ahead of the November midterms. Therefore, major American producers claim they are striving to maintain maximum production levels. 

Exxon recently achieved record diesel production, operating its domestic refineries at exceptionally high capacities. Chevron recorded unprecedented throughput at its facilities, exceeding one million barrels daily. Nevertheless, Exxon leadership emphasises that resuming shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains vital. 

They maintain that current extreme utilisation rates cannot persist indefinitely without fresh crude supplies. The broader refining sector will likely confront these structural challenges for the foreseeable future. Consequently, crude supply disruptions severely complicate downstream operations for companies with massive global footprints. 

Routine maintenance must also proceed, which Chevron anticipates will temporarily reduce third-quarter downstream earnings. Exxon expects its scheduled maintenance downtime to decrease compared to the preceding three months. 

Meanwhile, financial analysts noted that Exxon slightly missed overall consensus estimates despite strong downstream revenue. Chevron successfully exceeded market expectations, resulting in contrasting stock market performances for both firms.

(Source: Reuters)

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